Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 4.730644 5.105257 5.510574 5.984413 6.526680 7.132182 7.865558
2025-08-03 4.142085 4.653710 5.245392 5.990761 6.920429 8.064376 9.616705
2025-08-10 3.722663 4.288811 4.971933 5.876430 7.074733 8.659658 11.014987
2025-08-17 3.394474 3.980258 4.708778 5.709331 7.097251 9.041669 12.161649
2025-08-24 3.166301 3.767456 4.534327 5.621231 7.191606 9.511162 13.520185
2025-08-31 3.033150 3.660664 4.481353 5.681828 7.490667 10.317972 15.632006
2025-09-07 2.904189 3.546641 4.404611 5.693990 7.709830 11.027416 17.787609
2025-09-14 2.723487 3.349919 4.197267 5.492255 7.564819 11.092473 18.688512
2025-09-21 2.587276 3.205264 4.051999 5.368320 7.526544 11.332844 20.040606
2025-09-28 2.482367 3.097386 3.950997 5.301220 7.570973 11.727315 21.893464
2025-10-05 2.407163 3.026482 3.897999 5.302658 7.729704 12.367032 24.646572
2025-10-12 2.366910 3.002288 3.910943 5.408418 8.083322 13.472743 29.329586
2025-10-19 2.327296 2.979450 3.928073 5.529097 8.494997 14.842085 36.096862
2025-10-26 2.261694 2.915696 3.879344 5.535799 8.693459 15.791087 42.438166
2025-11-02 2.176537 2.818912 3.773594 5.435024 8.664818 16.179828 46.927380
2025-11-09 2.087175 2.712095 3.646561 5.287337 8.522817 16.246807 50.046859
2025-11-16 2.019321 2.634804 3.562311 5.209344 8.517125 16.683174 55.887322
2025-11-23 1.984089 2.605112 3.552054 5.263000 8.798613 18.010102 70.002596
2025-11-30 1.942315 2.563528 3.520082 5.273764 8.987245 19.133998 86.294544
2025-12-07 1.865421 2.465257 3.391184 5.095008 8.725583 18.770176 88.288972
2025-12-14 1.806103 2.392378 3.301337 4.984965 8.612844 18.878371 96.161657
2025-12-21 1.759862 2.338228 3.240125 4.925314 8.611367 19.366379 110.919824
2025-12-28 1.727577 2.304713 3.211714 4.926592 8.755370 20.418201 140.642658